Foundation
25 · 20 · 45 · 10The first structure: the largest weight on productive businesses, hard money beside it rather than in front of it, and the smallest bitcoin sleeve in the library.
Worst year 2022, −24%. Recovery time not published.
The library
Every model here is published the same way to everyone — signed in or not, first visit or fifth. Each one states what it holds, why, and how badly it has behaved. Which one you write into your own plan, if any, is your decision and nobody else’s.
A model is a template, and it stays one. Starting a plan from a model copies its weights into your builder, where every copied weight arrives unaffirmed until you confirm or change it. The plan you sign is yours; nothing you do writes back to this library.
Identical for every visitor
The first structure: the largest weight on productive businesses, hard money beside it rather than in front of it, and the smallest bitcoin sleeve in the library.
Worst year 2022, −24%. Recovery time not published.
Conviction with ballast: hard money carries the largest combined weight, and a productive core still does the compounding.
Worst year 2018, −33%. Recovery time not published.
The highest conviction in the library, and the deepest drawdowns — written down before the next bad year rather than explained after it.
Worst year 2018, −46%. Recovery time not published.
A blank plan, your weights, your instruments. The same editor either way — a published model is a starting point, never an assignment.
Start from a blank plan.
History, not a forecast. Blend arithmetic on published calendar-year returns for the four sleeves at these fixed weights, measured in US dollars and without rebalancing inside the year. It is not a backtest of any fund, and a euro investor's own figure differs by however the euro moved against the dollar that year.
A fall of the size shown on any of these cards can happen again, and is considered normal behaviour for that model rather than a malfunction.